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Economic Research

02/09/2010
[ECON]Thailand Economics: Baht strength and implications
Baht surged 3% in August
The baht appreciated 3% versus USD and 6% vs Euro in Aug, far outstripping other currencies except the yen. Since Thai export growth has slowed, this accelerating pace of appreciation could be largely explained by capital inflows. Net capital inflows amounted to $2.7bn in July, equaling 0.9% of GDP and on top of Thailand’s current account surplus which is expected to equal 5% of GDP this year. In short, we expect excess demand for baht to persist well into 2011 as the BoT continues to tighten monetary policy while the US keeps monetary policy very loose.

01/09/2010
[ECON]Thailand Macro Watch: Thailand Aug CPI +3.3%
Thailand Aug CPI +3.3%YoY, as expected
Announced: 1st September 2010, 10.45 (HKT)
Actual: 3.3%
Previous: 3.4%
Consensus: 3.3%
BofAML: 3.3%%

31/08/2010
[ECON]Thailand Macro Watch: July IP and current account
July IP +16.3%YoY and current account -$1.13bn

Announced: 31st August 2010, 15.30 (HKT)

Actual: IP 16.3%, Current account -$1.13bn

Previous: IP 21.3%, Current account +$0.68bn

Consensus: IP 14%, Current account -$0.70bn

Phatra: IP 16%, Current account -$0.95bn

25/08/2010
[ECON]Thailand Macro Flash: Thailand policy rate up 25bps
Thailand policy rate hiked 25bps to 1.75%
Announced: 25th August 2010, 15.30 (HKT)
Actual: up 25bps
Previous: up 25bps
Consensus: up 25bps
Phatra: up 25bps

23/08/2010
[ECON]Thailand Macro Flash: Thailand 2QGDP grew 9.1%YoY
Thai economy expands by 9.1% YoY in 2Q10

Announced: 23 Aug 2010, 10.30am (HKT)

Actual: 9.1% YoY (0.2% QoQ)

Previous: 12% YoY (3.3% QoQ)

Consensus: 8% YoY (-1.3% QoQ)

BofAML: 7.7% YoY

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